USDJPY 4H – Structure Break Signals Downside Risk Toward 147.80 Demand Zone

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• Bias: Bearish
• Pullback resistance: 156.00–156.60
• Invalidation: 157.95
• Primary target: 147.80–147.00
• Risk: Break above 157.95 shifts bias bullish

USDJPY on the 4H chart has broken below its medium-term ascending trendline, signaling a structural shift and increasing downside risk. Price is now retesting the 156.00–156.60 pullback resistance zone, where sellers may attempt to regain control.

The invalidation level sits at 157.95 — a break above this zone would negate the bearish scenario entirely.

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Current Technical Structure

• Previous trend: Strong bullish leg
• Current state: Bearish structure after trendline break
• Pullback resistance: 156.00–156.60
• Invalidation: 157.95
• Downside target: 147.80–147.40 (major demand zone)

Price remains below the descending trendline, supporting the possibility of a deeper correction into the multi-week demand zone below 148.00.

Price Outlook

As long as USDJPY stays below 156.60, bearish continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. The next major target lies at 147.80–147.40, a significant accumulation zone.

A clean break above 157.95 would invalidate the bearish view and reopen the pathway toward 159.00.

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